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Kimley>>> Horn Traffic Impact Analysis <br />FUTURE BACKGROUND TRAFFIC <br />Future background traffic conditions are defined as expected traffic conditions on the roadway <br />network in the year 2029 without the completion of the proposed development. Future <br />background traffic volumes used in the analysis are the sum of the existing traffic and additional <br />traffic generated by growth in the study area. <br />BACKGROUND AREA GROWTH f <br />Traffic growth on the transportation network was determined based upon (a) historical growth <br />trends at nearby FDOT traffic count stations and (b) traffic volume comparisons from the year <br />2015 and 2045 Florida Standard Urban Transportation Model Structure (FSUTMS) - Southeast <br />Florida Regional Planning Model (SERPM). FDOT count stations referenced in this analysis include: <br />• FDOT count station no. 0269 located on SR A1A/Collins Avenue, south of NE 1741h Street <br />• FDOT count station no. 0314 located on SR A1A/Collins Avenue, north of SR 856/NE <br />192nd Street <br />The historical growth rate analysis, based on the FDOT count station, examined linear, exponential, <br />and decaying exponential growth rates for the most recent five (5) and 10-year periods. In order <br />to provide a conservative analysis, traffic counts for 2020 and 2021 were interpolated based on <br />2019 and 2022 values as a result of atypical traffic conditions. The linear growth trend yielded a <br />growth rate of 2.09 percent (2.09%) over the most recent five (5) year period and 1.18 percent <br />(1.18%) over the most recent 10-year period. The exponential growth trend yielded a growth rate <br />of 2.02 percent (2.02%) over the most recent five (5) year period and 1.15 percent (1.15%) over <br />the most recent 10-year period. The decaying exponential growth trend yielded a growth rate of <br />1.93 percent (1.93%) over the most recent five (5) year period and 1.04 percent (1.04%) over the <br />most recent 10-year period. The calculated growth rate with the highest R2 value was determined <br />to be the 5-year exponential growth trend which yielded a growth rate of 2.02 percent (2.02%). <br />Based on the forecasted volumes obtained from the 2015 and 2045 FSUTMS SERPM 8.531, an <br />annual growth rate of 0.71 percent (0.71%) in the vicinity of the development was calculated. <br />Therefore, to provide a conservative analysis, the higher growth rate of 2.02 percent (2.02%) was <br />applied to existing traffic volumes to develop future 2029 volumes. The worksheets used to <br />analyze the historical growth trends along with the FSUTMS transportation model outputs are <br />K:\17Li TO\044WWM- RDBH S... y Isles\Report\Oty of Sunny Isles Beach ➢A 092025A... Page-5 September 2025 142 <br />