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<br />Figure 7 provides detailed demographic data for the impact fees study. According to the
<br />recommended projections, Sunny Isles Beach's average, net housing increase will be 158
<br />units per year over the next 15 years. Although the City expects significant redevelopment
<br />of hotels, the net increase in hotel rooms is only projected to be 59 rooms over the next 15
<br />years. Given the projected net increase in residential units and hotel rooms, Sunny Isles
<br />Beach will grow from an estimated winter peak population of 25,200 in 2000 to 30,900
<br />people in the year 2015. The average increase in peak population is 380 people per year.
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<br />The estimate of current nonresidential floor area is from the Comprehensive Plan LOS and
<br />Emergency Evacuation Analysis. Projected nonresidential floor area in 2015 is based on the
<br />Town Center redevelopment plan. Even though Figure 7 indicates a consistent annual
<br />change in nonresidential floor area, actual construction is typically irregular or "lumpy", with
<br />minor construction in some years followed by a large-scale project. For commercial and
<br />office development, the net increase in nonresidential floor area averages 32,000 square
<br />feet per year, excluding hotel redevelopment which is measured by a net increase in rooms.
<br />Because the number of jobs shown in Figure 7 is derived from the commercial/office floor
<br />area, the job data excludes hotel employees.
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<br />Figure 7 - Recommended Projections for Sunny Isles Beach
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<br />Sunny Isles Beach, Florida
<br />1999
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<br />
<br />2000
<br />
<br />2001
<br />
<br />2002
<br />
<br />2003
<br />
<br />2004
<br />
<br />2005
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<br />2010 2015
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<br />Cumulative
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<br />Year,Round Population In Hsg Units 14,543 14,859 15,178 15,501 15,827 16,196 17,932 18,969
<br />Transient Population In Hsg Units 5,740 5,865 5,991 6,118 6,247 6,286 6,499 6,875
<br />Transient Pop. in Hotel Rooms 4,904 4,912 4,921 4,930 4,938 4,947 4,990 5,034
<br />Total Peak Population (rounded) 25,200 25,600 26,100 26,500 27,000 27,400 29,400 30,900
<br />Housing Units 11,674 11,833 11,993 12,152 12,312 12,471 12,630 13,423 14,200
<br />Residential Vacancy Rate 28,3% 28.3% 28.3% 28,3% 28.3% 28.0% 26.6% 26,6%
<br />Households 8,485 8,599 8,713 8,827 8,942 9,099 9,853 10,423
<br />Persons Per Housing Unit 1.70 1,71 1.73 1.74 1,76 1.77 1.78 1.82 1.82
<br />Hotel Rooms 2,229 2,233 2,237 2,241 2,245 2,249 2,268 2,288
<br />Persons Per Hotel Room 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2,2 2.2 2,2
<br />Jobs not at Hotels 1,667 1,773 1,880 1,987 2,093 2,200 2,733 3,267
<br />Floor Area Sq Ft
<br />Retail/Com mercial KSF* Per Job 450 453 455 458 461 463 477 490
<br />Office/Institutional KSF* 50 79 109 138 167 197 343 490
<br />Total KSF* 300 500 532 564 596 628 660 820 980
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<br />Annual Increase
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<br />2000-2015
<br />00,01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04,05 09,10 Avg AnI
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<br />Total Peak Population 400 500 400 500 400 300 380
<br />Jobs not at Hotels 107 107 107 107 107 107 107
<br />Housing Units 159 159 159 159 159 155 158
<br />Total Retail/Office KSF* 32 32 32 32 32 32 32
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<br />* KSF = square feet of floor area in thousands.
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<br />Tischler & Associates, Inc.
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